What factors will dominate India’s real estate market in 2024?

The Rise of India's Real Estate Market in 2024

The Indian real estate sector has witnessed substantial growth in recent years. The first quarter of 2024 nearly surpassed the record set in 2023, a year that saw the highest number of new project announcements in a decade. A report estimates that around 280,000 to 290,000 new residential units will be launched in 2024, further solidifying the sector's expansion trajectory.

Influential Market Factors Shaping 2024

India's real estate sector is a significant economic driver, contributing considerably to the nation's GDP. Despite recent challenges, including the COVID-19 pandemic, regulatory changes, and liquidity issues, the industry has exhibited impressive adaptability and resilience. The sector experienced a progressive recovery in 2023, fueled by favorable government policies, pent-up demand, and the increasing adoption of digital technologies.

"The Indian real estate market is projected to grow to a $1 trillion sector by 2030 and contribute roughly 15% of the country’s GDP by 2025.", according to former Housing and Urban Affairs Minister Hardeep Singh Puri.

Beyond satisfying domestic demand, the Indian real estate landscape is also recognized as a global investment hotspot. Non-resident Indians (NRIs) actively participate in the market, not only as investors but also to maintain connections with their homeland. NRI investment accounted for about 10% of total market investments in the 2019-2020 fiscal year. This figure presently stands at 15% and is projected to reach 20% by the end of 2025.

The sector's consistent growth in rental yield, amidst the rupee's devaluation and global economic uncertainties, underscores its resilience. The growth is driven by favorable economic policies, the emotional connection NRIs have with their home country, and an overall confidence in the market’s stability and future potential.

Evolving Buyer Trends and Market Dynamics: The Pursuit of Upscale Living

India's economic growth has fueled a desire for upscale living among those with higher disposable incomes. A preference for properties with features like swimming pools, fitness centers, and gardens is becoming increasingly common. This trend extends beyond high-net-worth individuals (HNIs) and ultra-HNIs to include the upper middle class, who are seeking larger living spaces and improved amenities.

The Growing Importance of Environmental Consciousness

Over the past two years, there has been a significant shift toward sustainable construction in India’s real estate scene. The industry is increasingly adopting eco-friendly building materials, water conservation methods, and energy-efficient designs. Today's homebuyers, particularly millennials, actively seek properties that align with their environmental values, prioritizing features like rainwater harvesting systems, renewable energy sources, and energy-efficient appliances.

Sustainable buildings also prioritize natural light and ventilation, creating a sense of spaciousness and improving indoor air quality. This has positive effects on mood and reduces stress levels, which becomes especially relevant for those working from home. Despite the slightly higher initial costs, the long-term savings on utility bills make sustainable homes an attractive investment.

Shifting Housing Preferences

Limited ready-to-move-in (RTMI) inventory and rising prices in gated communities have led buyers to explore options like individual houses, resale properties, and under-construction projects. Resale properties offer established living spaces without the need for extensive renovations. Under-construction projects, on the other hand, attract buyers hoping to benefit from anticipated price appreciation upon completion.

Investment Trends: From Commercial to Residential

Traditionally, commercial real estate was preferred for investment due to its higher returns and lower maintenance requirements. However, a significant rise in residential rental yields over the past two years, coupled with improved affordability, has tilted the scales in favor of residential investments. The expectation of rapid price growth makes residential properties appear more attractive from a capital appreciation perspective.

Impact of Government Policies and Initiatives

The Indian government’s commitment to affordable housing, through various successful initiatives and programs, significantly impacts the industry. Real estate accounts for over half of household savings in India, making these policies particularly influential. The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) decision to maintain its policy rate has provided further support to the housing sector's growth, with expectations of even greater demand if this stability persists.

The Transformative Power of Technology

Technology continues to revolutionize the real estate market, simplifying property access and investment. Virtual tours and online transactions are transforming the house-hunting process. Proptech platforms, with features like metro-based filters, help individuals find affordable homes beyond their immediate vicinity, impacting commute times. These platforms are evolving into one-stop shops for all real estate services, improving efficiency and user experience.

Modern buyers are no longer seeking just a house but a technologically integrated smart home. Features like automated lighting, smart climate control, voice assistants, and advanced security systems are in high demand. Even elevators with predictive maintenance features are gaining popularity. These technological advancements shape buyer preferences and influence purchasing decisions, making smart home features a key differentiator in today’s real estate landscape.

Conclusion

Since the downturn caused by the COVID-19 pandemic, there has been a marked resurgence in construction activity, injecting renewed momentum into the real estate market. The continued rise in home prices in India looks set to solidify the financial future of the aspirational middle class. With an uptick in projects and new launches nearing completion, the market anticipates price stabilization and recalibration. The convergence of market dynamics, government initiatives, and evolving buyer preferences make 2024 not only a favorable year for homeownership but also a year teeming with opportunities.